Economic Investment and the Journey to Health Care Value

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Value-based payment and care has left a powerful and indelible footprint on the U.S. economy. Widescale provider and payer investment in IT infrastructure and personnel to support alternative payment models, an infusion of venture capital support into new technology-based third-party partners, and innovative employer arrangements with providers, are tangibly shifting the axis of healthcare spending and improving the lives of millions of Americans.

The Health Care Transformation Task Force has partnered with NEJM Catalyst to offer an unprecedented look at how value-based care has positively disrupted the U.S. health care economy. Below you’ll find a series of reports on how value has impacted patients, providers, payers, purchasers, and partner organizations.

Click on each of the links below to access the full text reports:

Click on each of the links below to access the summary and visit the NEJM Catalyst article:

Introduction


As the nation continues to face uncertainties on health care policy reform, concerns about the long-term sustainability of the sector are prompting some organizations to sound a note of caution on major investments. The prior administration’s “let a thousand flowers bloom” approach to novel payment and delivery models is being pruned and mandatory participation requirements relaxed. To an outside observer, these signs could point to a slowing of the movement toward value.  But is that really the case?

Value-based payment and care delivery is an imperative that should remain front and center in the push toward a better system. One major driver is the Medicare Quality Payment Program (QPP), authorized under the 2015 MACRA legislation, which adjusts how doctors are reimbursed for services based on quality and cost. The QPP program went into effect in 2017 and encourages providers to pursue alternative payment models that require them to assume financial risk over care for their patient populations. Commercial payers will also continue to push for better value from providers through risk-based payment structures.

Value-based payment and care delivery have already left an indelible footprint on the US economy. Many providers have made major investments in infrastructure to support alternative payment models and better care delivery, including wide-scale implementation of electronic health records and workforce retooling to support care integration. Commercial insurers continue to roll out new value-based contracts and join forces with providers through accountable care arrangements and joint venture partnerships; they have also made internal investments in staff and IT to measure and support value efforts. Employers, or purchasers, are investing in creative alternatives to traditional health plan contracting and finding new ways to control spending that saves millions, such as establishing “centers of excellence” for routine elective surgeries. Finally, a host of new technology-based third-party partners are emerging through venture capital channels, drawing billions of investment dollars and spawning dramatic population health innovations.

These industry-wide initiatives have tangibly impacted patient lives. Providers and payers are succeeding in reducing deaths, avoiding hospitalizations and readmissions, and improving quality of care. Employers are better meeting the needs of employees with complex health conditions, and incentivizing individuals to stay healthy. Partner organizations are helping health systems make the changes they need to deliver care more efficiently and effectively, and to provide much-needed coordination for patients, providers, and caregivers.

The Health Care Transformation Task Force (HCTTF) has developed a series of reports that illustrate the widespread impact of value-based payment and care delivery on the US economy.  These reports make the case for the critical importance of continuing these efforts in an era of uncertainty and concern, and individually highlight the economic impact of value through providers, payers, purchasers, and partners. HCTTF members believe that while the current political and policy environment is focused on the next generation of health reform, the marketplace continues to see meaningful strides forward in pursuit of value-based care. That forward momentum should continue to produce patient-centered, high quality care at a lower cost.

Patients


In the vastly complex and increasingly politicized U.S. health care environment, the patient voice is often overlooked or given only superficial consideration. National economic debate on the rising cost of care, combined with a narrative focused on the changing health care business environment, often neglect to include consumers. Yet, patients form the beating heart of the health care system, generating demand that directly impacts how organizations deliver and pay for care. Understanding the patient impact is imperative to understanding the broader economic forces shaping the industry, and highlights the very personal importance of improving value in health care.

The cost-quality disconnect

As total health care expenditures in the U.S. continue to rise, so do patient out-of-pocket costs. Average annual health care costs for an individual reached $10,372 in 2016; adjusted for inflation, that equates to an approximately nine-fold increase since 1960.[1],[2] Rising patient costs are also reflected at the national level. Total national health expenditures were projected to reach $3.4 trillion in 2016, an increase of 4.8 percent from 2015.[3] Although the U.S. health care expenditures are a little above two and a half times that of other OECD countries with similar incomes, U.S. patients have decidedly worse outcomes than their international peers.[4]

While high health care costs may be partially attributed to various uncontrollable factors such as aging of the population, other factors such as cost and quality of services contribute to higher health care spend and lower life expectancy. Between 2011 and 2014, Americans had a 17 percent readmission rate for heart attacks and pneumonia.[5] A recent study from researchers at Johns Hopkins estimated that more than 250,000 Americans die from medical errors, ranking third in overall deaths behind heart disease and cancer.[6]

The Importance of Value

Though the U.S. health care system remains strongly rooted in volume-driven fee-for-service payments, value initiatives are becoming increasingly prevalent and important as patient costs continue to rise, access to affordable care is threatened, and life expectancy remains low relative to other developed countries. Now more than ever, efforts that focus on increasing value in health care will prove to be the best hope for improving patient and consumer lives. Early initiatives have shown promising results to save lives and control costs. For example, a government-led initiative to reduce hospital acquired conditions resulted in 87,000 lives saved and $19.8 billion in financial savings between 2010 and 2014.[7]

Value-based programs that improve care coordination, strengthen the doctor-patient relationship, and hold providers accountable for the quality and cost of the care they deliver will be critical to improving patient lives. Though many different types of value-based care and payment models are currently being tested, not all have resulted in dramatic improvements. Both government and the private sector must continue to drive toward value for the benefit of patients and the broader U.S. economy. Taking the foot off the gas pedal and allowing the value momentum to wither from benign neglect would threaten the sustainability of the U.S. health care system and harm the patients who depend upon it.

Providers


Many providers have and continue to actively embrace value-based payment and care delivery reform, even amidst political and market uncertainties. Major investments in infrastructure to support accountable care organizations, episodes of care, and other value initiatives are reflected in areas such as new IT/data analytics infrastructure and expanded workforces. The Task Force examines the broader economic impact of these investments in the first part of a new series, produced in partnership with NEJM Catalyst.

Read the full article at NEJM Catalyst.

Payers


Many private health insurers, often following the lead of CMS in its push toward alternative payment models, have already invested broadly in value-based payment programs. Now payers are streamlining their efforts, positioning their businesses on value-based arrangements that have shown success in reducing costs and improving outcomes. In the second part of its collaboration with NEJM Catalyst, the Task Force identifies significant shifts to value by insurers and highlights tangible impacts on cost and the patient experience.

Read the full article at NEJM Catalyst.

Purchasers


Employers are approaching value in increasingly creative and collaborative ways to pursue population health management and care delivery. Rising health care costs, political instability, and looming health plan taxes continue to elevate the importance of value-based care and payment; employers continue to pursue innovative channels such as centers of excellence, high-performance networks, and bundled payments, among others, to tamp down costs and improve employee health. In the third part of its collaboration with NEJM Catalyst, the Task Force analyzes the impact of these initiatives on the broader US economic landscape.

Read the full article at NEJM Catalyst.

Partners


Over the past seven years, the health care industry has witnessed monumental change in the way care is paid for and delivered. Spurred by wider availability of federal and commercial payment and care delivery models, new contracting approaches, and a large wave of newly insured consumers, health care organizations are joining forces with savvy entrepreneurs to accelerate the pace of transformation and modernization.

While these entrepreneurial partners offer services that vary greatly in scope and breadth, they share the same common goals to improve quality and access while lowering costs and removing other barriers to effective care, most often with an underlying innovative technology platform. Some partners provide data analytics and decision support tools, while others offer a full suite of digital health and care management services, including personnel with special training and skills, to help organizations overhaul their delivery systems.

The rapid growth of these new partners has engendered widespread interest from the financial community, resulting in billions of investment dollars and millions of impacted health care consumers. Though the long-term effectiveness of the new programs developed and implemented by these organizations remains to be seen, large-scale economic investments and early results provide a compelling case for the importance of continued focus on value.

Investments in health care partners

Investments in health care start-ups and partner organizations has grown dramatically in less than a decade, reflecting an unprecedented focus on overhauling the health sector:

• According to incubator Rock Health, from 2011 to 2016 venture funding in digital health saw a compound annual growth rate of 30 percent. In 2016 alone, total investments in digital health reached $4.2 billion. Analytics and big data, including data aggregations and analysis used to support health care cases, garnered a large chunk of the total funding for the year at $341 million. Not far behind it were telemedicine and population health management, at $287 million and $198 million, respectively.[8]

• As care moves beyond the four walls of the hospital, large investments are being made in companies and technologies that support patients in their social and medical needs. In 2016, almost $8 billion in venture capital was invested in companies that supported individuals in their daily essential activities, with ride-sharing company Uber a notable example. Care coordination raised over $800 million, with 50 separate contractual arrangements. Transition support garnered $168 million in venture funding and 28 deals.[9]

• The population health market is expected to continue its explosive growth over the next several years. Research firm MarketsandMarkets estimates that the population health market will reach $42.5 billion by 2020, with a compound annual growth rate of 25.2 percent. While these numbers reflect the global market, North America (primarily the U.S.) will account for the largest market share.[10]

• A recent survey of health care entrepreneurs from venture capital firm Venrock indicated that 45 percent believe analytics and big data will experience the highest growth over the next year, compared to other health care IT sub-sectors.[11]

Understanding the impact

As options for health care technologies and services abound, and as providers face increasing pressure from federal and commercial payers to modernize their care delivery systems, many organizations are increasingly engaging with partners. Though many of these companies are still early in their product development and roll-out, evidence points to their positive impacts:

• Organizations employing population health initiatives grew from 67 percent in 2015 to 76 percent in 2016.[12]

• Advanced electronic health technology implementation has been associated with fewer patients with prolonged length of hospital stay and seven-day readmissions.[13]

• IBM Watson Health, which offers a variety of population health management solutions to its clients, reported a 250 percent improvement in care management efficiency among one of its clients.[14]

• Remedy Partners, a technology firm focused on episodes of care and employed across 671 acute care hospitals, has generated $500 million in annual savings, along with a 6.1 percent reduction in hospital readmissions for its clients.[15]

• Technology and population health services firm Evolent Health, which serves over 30 markets across the U.S. and manages over 2 million lives, has helped drive millions in clinical and pharmacy savings for its provider clients.[16]

Many more examples of successful disruptive entrepreneurs exist; as these organizations continue to mature, collect additional data on outcomes and ROI, and refine their strategies to best meet the needs of health care organizations and consumers, their value in transforming the sector will become increasingly apparent.

Conclusion

Despite uncertainty over the future of U.S. health reform, a broad movement toward value-based care models continues and investments in data-driven, value-based health care solutions are essential to that evolution. Third-party partners are critical to help drive industry transformation because they enable smarter data use, encourage new methods of reaching consumers, and serve as external change agents for health systems and plans that do not have the internal technology or ability to transform on their own. These partners have already had a significant impact on the U.S. financial landscape, and are poised to continue their expansion and influence over the next decade.

The Transformation to Value: A Leadership Guide

Webinars:

Transformation to Value: A Provider Perspective
(October 17, 2017 3:00-4:00pm ET)

Featuring Jason Dinger, Chief Innovation Officer of Ascension Health and Rick Gilfillan, MD, CEO of Trinity Health
Listen to the recording.
Download the presentation.

Transformation to Value: A Payer Perspective
(November 2, 2017 4:00-5:00pm ET)

Featuring Kevin Klobucar, Executive Vice President of Health Care Value, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan and Brigitte Nettesheim, President, Transformative Markets, Aetna
Listen to the recording.
Download the presentation.


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Health care industry leaders face incredible challenges in shifting from traditional, volume-driven fee-for-service to value-based payment and care delivery.  The Health Care Transformation Task Force has created a framework to help guide decision makers in their transformation journeys, along with insights from organizations at the vanguard of value.

Press Release

Full Report

Read the individual reports:

Introduction: Strategic Framework

Health care industry leaders face incredible challenges in shifting from traditional, volume-driven fee-for-service to value-based care. While the public discussion is often about specific value-based payment models, the broader transformation challenges to becoming a truly value-based organization receive much less focus. Committed organizations must often make significant changes to their strategic direction and operating structures, yet leaders don’t always have a clear precedent on how to successfully guide their organizations through these changes.

The Task Force’s Path to Transformation Advisory Group created the Dimensions of Health Care Transformation Strategic Framework (“Framework”) to assist health care leaders as they design and implement their transition to value. The Framework is built on the collective experience and wisdom from organizations that are at the vanguard of value-based payment and care delivery. It reflects introspective questions that change leaders should ask in building out an effective transformation strategy. Read our introductory report to learn more about the Framework.

Strategy and Culture

Successfully changing the culture within all levels of an organization is critical to support value-based payment and care delivery, but also one of the biggest challenges in successful transformation. Culture change involves buy-in across an entire organization (i.e., clinicians, executives, administrative staff, and affiliated partners). This requires an overarching vision for transformation, dynamic and experienced leaders, and an appropriate level of organizational integration and local leadership buy-in to successfully transition within each market. Read the report to learn more about how organizations have addressed strategy and culture change in their own transformation journeys.

Structure and Investments

Structure and investments are critical to the transformation journey because they encompass the physical infrastructure and human capital requirements needed to successfully build a value-based delivery system. Finding the right balance of resources to invest in can be extraordinarily challenging, especially for organizations that are new to value-based care. Many of the executives interviewed discussed the importance of identifying highly skilled, experienced leaders to assist with the transition process. With experienced stewardship, organizations can successfully stand up their value businesses and invest intelligently in infrastructure and resources. Read the report to learn what our leaders had to say.

Operations and Accountability

For organizations that are on the path to value, making the right investments in operations and developing effective mechanisms for accountability can determine success or failure. The Task Force identified three key elements: operational alignment, financial incentives, and quality measurement. Operational alignment ensures that value objectives are managed across lines of business. Financial incentives encourage momentum and commitment from staff toward achieving common value goals. Quality measurement means effectively evaluating and measuring progress toward those value goals. Read the report to gain insight into the successes and lessons learned from transformation leaders.

Performance Management

In the fourth and final dimension of the Framework, the Task Force highlights two key components: Process and Outcomes Evaluation and Financial Modeling. Evaluating progress toward value-based care is critical for the long-term sustainability and success of any value-based initiative. Understanding when to discontinue a program due to financial unsustainability and/or poor outcomes can be just as important as identifying which programs are most likely to yield the best results and returns. For details on how organizations are evaluating progress and making informed decisions on the future of their value-based programs, read the report.

Project Background


Shifting from traditional, volume-driven fee-for-service to value based care is highly challenging, even for the most sophisticated businesses. Health care organizations committed to transforming to value-based payment and care delivery models must often make significant changes to their strategic direction and operating structures. How much work needs to be done to achieve value transformation, however, depends on many factors such as level of commitment, organizational complexity, cultural dexterity, level of change currently underway, and desired goals.

Transformation can be risky, even for those who are further along the transition to value continuum. Organizations must weigh a multitude of variables in their planning processes, and often use internal vetting practices that draw upon both internal and external shared learnings as well as return on investment (ROI) calculations to align transformational goals with current business models. In particular, shared learnings from businesses that have implemented value-based care programs are critically important to help other organizations successfully navigate opportunities and pitfalls.

The Task Force’s Path to Transformation Advisory Group created the Dimensions of Health Care Transformation Strategy Framework (Framework) to assist health care leaders as they design and implement their transition to value. The Framework is built on the collective experience and wisdom from organizations that are at the vanguard of value-based payment and care delivery. It reflects introspective questions that change leaders should ask in building out a transformation strategy.

The Framework also provides the foundation for a series of interviews, and subsequent analysis, that the Task Force conducted to provide additional context on the path to transformation continuum and allow decision makers to benchmark themselves against similar organizations that are actively moving toward value-based care.

Dimensions of Health Care Transformation Framework


The Framework helps organizations assess their transformational maturity across a set of business dimensions (vertical axis) in which they can expect to make transformative changes through three levels (horizontal axis): (1) concept; (2) execution; and (3) sustainability. This Framework charts a course for how organizations can be successful in culturally, structurally, and operationally transitioning to value-based care.

The Framework’s current business dimensions are intended as a core set, with additional dimensions added as appropriate. The example questions and categories provided represent activities that may or may not be happening simultaneously, rather than prerequisites that must be met before an organization may move to the next level. In sum, the Framework is intended to be a dynamic tool, with additional dimensions added over time.

The first level – concept – assesses the needs of the communities or markets to be served and how health care organizations can best tailor value-based care models to serve those needs. Due to the complexities of value-based care arrangements, the concept stage requires education of, and buyin from, leadership groups and an organizational commitment to the culture change necessary to effectively implement value-based care models.

The second level – execution – involves delivering on an action plan for change, including setting a course and timeline for transitioning from fee-for-service to value-based payment models. The leadership education and buy-in from the concept stage is now shared more broadly with the organization. Cultural and operational plans are established to ensure alignment and to promote organizational accountability so that internal teams move toward achieving common goals on consistent timelines, with an established feedback loop to promote continual improvement. All dimensions from the concept stages are now operational and individual/team incentive plans – financial, cultural and/or operational – are in place to tie personal accountability to organizational commitment.

The final level – sustainability – envisions an ideal end state of organizational transformation that reflects aligned goals and objectives, as well as measurable progress toward lower costs and improved quality, outcomes and patient experience. Within the sustainability level, operational scale is achieved consistent with the desired organizational plan, but is not viewed as satisfactorily sustainable by itself.

For most organizations, “sustainability” is an aspirational destination that has not yet been fully achieved. Thus, the definition and specificity of what it means to sustain transformative efforts will likely evolve over time and will be subject to continual advancement/refinement. One constant, however, is the need for continuous improvement to remain successful in providing high-quality, affordable person-centered care.

Health care organizations’ ability to move along the transformation continuum is often dependent on external factors over which the organization has little direct control. External factors may include state insurance regulations; federal policies and requirements; local health information infrastructure; and willingness from others to partner in value-based arrangements. The confluence of these factors will dictate the overall readiness of local markets to support value-based care and will play a large role in whether organizations are able to pursue value transformation

At present, the Framework does not seek to identify specific external factors as prerequisites for, or potential impediments to transformation; rather, it recognizes that the speed and scope of transformation may be restricted by the current ecosystem in which individual health care organizations operate.

Methodology


The Task Force created the Dimensions of Health Care Transformation Framework to assist health care leaders as they design and implement their transition to value. The Framework is built on the collective experience and wisdom from member organizations that are at the vanguard of value-based payment and care delivery. It reflects questions that change leaders should ask themselves in building out a transformation strategy. The Framework was developed from a series of working sessions with the Task Force Path to Transformation Advisory Group, consisting of Task Force members, over a period of several months.

The Task Force used the Framework dimensions to craft an interview guide for members. Task Force staff sought participation from members of the Path to Transformation Advisory Group. Members had the option of participating via phone or through a written response to the interview guide. In total, the Task Force conducted interviews with 12 member organizations, corresponding to over 20 hours of interviews, and received four written responses. The breakdown was as follows:

• 3 payers (two national, one regional)
• 9 providers
• 3 partners (guide providers through value transformation)

Following interview transcription by a professional transcription service, the transcripts and written responses were qualitatively coded using Dedoose, an online coding platform, to highlight and organize key themes among member experiences and observations across each dimension. Task Force staff also completed a summary analysis to enable comparison of approaches and results for similar member organizations. All quotes in this report draw from these interview and written transcripts.

In case you missed it: Learn about common strategies of high-performing organizations in our Levers of Successful ACOs report.

Principles for Clinical Episode and Population-Based Payment Overlap

While both episode-based and population-based payment models present opportunities for improvement in quality and care, they are not always in alignment. The recent implementation of Medicare-focused alternative payment models has resulted in instances of overlap, where multiple providers may be responsible for the same patient under different models. While this does not create a problem by itself, it can create inefficiencies and challenges that are ultimately at odds with the end goal of delivering higher quality and more integrated care.

The Task Force has developed a set of guiding principles to govern the development of best practices in public and private payer models.

Read the principles.

 

2016 Member Transformation Measurement Report

The Task Force has reported that 41 percent of its provider and payer members’ business were in value-based payment arrangements at the end of 2015, up from the 30 percent in 2014.

All Task Force members have committed to putting 75 percent of their business into value-based arrangements that focus on the Triple Aim of better health, better care and lower costs by 2020.

The numbers are based on responses from 23 of the 27 provider or payer Task Force members that responded to the year-end survey. The averages reported are the combined average of each system, and they are not weighted to reflect the organization’s size.

Read the press release.